
Israel quietly pushes Washington toward toppling Iran's leadership
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Trump Issues Stark Warning to Iran’s Leader as Muscat Nuclear Talks Loom
President Trump publicly warned Iran’s supreme leader as delegations prepare for direct talks in Muscat, while the U.S. has massed a carrier strike group and flown regional exercises after recent maritime encounters that have increased the chance of miscalculation.

Trump Signals Military Option to Iran, Warns Carrier-Led Fleet Is Moving In
President Trump publicly warned Iran that a substantial U.S. naval formation is en route and urged Tehran to accept a negotiated settlement on its nuclear activities to avoid a major strike. He invoked a prior U.S. operation that targeted Iranian nuclear sites and framed the deployment as both pressure and a ready military option.

Seven plausible trajectories after a potential US strike on Iran
A US strike on Iran would still produce a range of outcomes from limited tactical degradation to broad regional instability; recent US force posture — including the Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group and CENTCOM aviation exercises — plus Tehran’s domestic crisis and a tumbling rial, have increased near-term miscalculation risk and already pushed a modest premium into oil and shipping markets.

Trump-Herzog Fallout Deepens a Wider Rift Between Washington and Jerusalem
A public rebuke from the U.S. president toward Israel’s president over a pardon request for Benjamin Netanyahu has exposed widening tensions in the bilateral relationship and accelerated private Israeli outreach to Washington on Iran contingency options. The spat sits atop broader strategic disagreements — including U.S. emphasis on nuclear limits versus Israeli focus on missiles, proxies and coercive options — and comes as U.S. military posture and Gulf partner constraints reshape the operational choices available to both capitals.

Iran: Khamenei warns a US strike would ignite a regional war
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned that any US military strike on Iran could spark a wider regional conflict as Washington reinforces its presence with a carrier strike group and multi-day aviation exercises nearby. At the same time, Iranian officials report discreet message exchanges with Washington and third-party offers to mediate, even as domestic unrest, deadly blasts and economic collapse intensify pressure on Tehran.

Trump announces 10-day window for Iran talks, warns of military option
President Trump set a ten-day deadline for negotiators to show whether diplomacy with Iran can produce an agreement, while warning that military measures remain available; the administration has paired visible carrier movements and CENTCOM aviation drills with shuttle diplomacy as some members of Congress prepare a War Powers Act challenge. Regional incidents at sea and limits from Gulf partners on basing and overflight complicate both operational planning and the prospect of a durable deal.

Netanyahu Says Any Iran De‑Escalation Must Eliminate Enrichment Ability
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told President Trump he proposed a de‑escalation package that would require Iran to surrender enriched nuclear material and forfeit its capacity to enrich, while also demanding limits on Iranian ballistic‑missile ranges. He voiced those terms publicly to a gathering of U.S. Jewish organizational leaders as private Israeli outreach to Washington, U.S. military signaling in the region, and tentative Iran‑mediated contacts create a narrow and fragile diplomatic window.

Iran Nuclear Program: US Talks Stall After Strikes on Facilities
Diplomatic talks between Washington and Tehran have stalled after strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, elevating the risk of further military escalation and complicating verification. The 2015 limits-based agreement remains the reference, but weakened inspection access and hardened political positions make a swift return to that framework unlikely.