
Trump-Herzog Fallout Deepens a Wider Rift Between Washington and Jerusalem
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Israel quietly pushes Washington toward toppling Iran's leadership
Senior Israeli officials are privately urging the United States to consider actions that could unseat Iran’s ruling apparatus, seeing President Trump as the partner most likely to act. Their push comes as U.S. forces and exercises in the region increase deterrent signaling, Gulf partners limit basing options, and analysts warn that any campaign risks widening regional retaliation and economic disruption.

Greenland gambit strains Washington’s ties with Europe's right-wing allies
President Trump’s public push to claim Greenland and subsequent jabs at NATO have unsettled nationalist and populist leaders across Europe, reducing his political leverage. While recent diplomatic talks in Washington have calmed immediate tensions, fallout has already prompted EU citizens and parties to reassess political and commercial ties — notably energy dependencies — eroding short‑term U.S. influence.

Witkoff and Kushner Drive Trump’s Private Peace Initiative
A Trump-backed delegation led by Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner held concentrated talks in Geneva that produced a 20-point framework, donor pledges including $5 billion and vague promises of stabilization troops, and a negotiated pause that enabled aid and a prisoner exchange. The effort returned negotiations to Europe after Abu Dhabi, delivered limited tactical wins (including a 314-person prisoner swap), but was undercut by a large subsequent strike on Ukrainian energy infrastructure and deep skepticism about compressed timelines for a broader settlement.

Trump Issues Stark Warning to Iran’s Leader as Muscat Nuclear Talks Loom
President Trump publicly warned Iran’s supreme leader as delegations prepare for direct talks in Muscat, while the U.S. has massed a carrier strike group and flown regional exercises after recent maritime encounters that have increased the chance of miscalculation.

Israel Grows Skeptical of Saudi Normalization After Riyadh’s Strategic Pivot
Israeli officials are increasingly doubtful that formal ties with Saudi Arabia will be finalized after recent shifts in Riyadh’s regional posture, particularly moves that suggest a recalibration toward Iran and away from a US-centered security framework. That doubt complicates US mediation efforts and raises the prospect of a slower, narrower relationship focused on pragmatic cooperation rather than full diplomatic normalization.

Trump announces 10-day window for Iran talks, warns of military option
President Trump set a ten-day deadline for negotiators to show whether diplomacy with Iran can produce an agreement, while warning that military measures remain available; the administration has paired visible carrier movements and CENTCOM aviation drills with shuttle diplomacy as some members of Congress prepare a War Powers Act challenge. Regional incidents at sea and limits from Gulf partners on basing and overflight complicate both operational planning and the prospect of a durable deal.
Erosion at the Edges: How Legal, Legislative and Public Pushback Is Checking Trump’s Reach
A string of judicial rulings, congressional defections and intense local pushback — including mass protests after a federal enforcement operation in Minneapolis that left a woman dead and circulated footage of a detained child — have forced tactical retrenchment on several high-profile administration moves even as the White House retains strong unilateral levers abroad. These fractures raise political and legal costs that could widen before the midterms, reshaping Republican calculations in districts hit by policy pain and prompting more frequent intra-party challenges.

Munich report warns Trump-era policies are straining the post‑1945 global order
A Munich Security Report released ahead of the conference concludes that recent US leadership choices are exerting exceptional pressure on the rules-based international system, altering alliances and norms. The report’s polling shows widespread public pessimism in major democracies and helps explain why European capitals are actively recalibrating defence and economic policy in response.