
Ethiopia Demands Eritrean Forces Withdraw as Border Tensions Rise
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Ethiopian carrier halts northern routes amid signs of escalating Tigray clashes
Ethiopian Airlines abruptly suspended passenger services between Addis Ababa and cities in the Tigray region after staff received instructions not to report for work and passengers were notified by text. Local reports indicate renewed skirmishes in western Tigray and troop movements in the south, raising the prospect of a return to large-scale violence ahead of national elections.

Erdogan warns Israel’s Somaliland move could destabilise Horn of Africa
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan publicly criticised Israel’s decision to recognise Somaliland, saying outside powers should not turn the Horn into a zone of contestation. Ethiopia’s leader pressed Ankara for help securing sea access, raising the stakes for regional diplomacy and potential security flashpoints.
Israel Draws Regional Rebuke as Rafah Reopens with Strict Limits
Eight Muslim-majority states publicly censured Israel over recent strikes in Gaza as a narrowly constrained, EU‑monitored test reopening of the Rafah crossing begins; simultaneously, Israel is pressing aid groups for staff lists and has issued a 60‑day compliance deadline, raising acute humanitarian and diplomatic risks.

South Sudan’s Army Opens Major Jonglei Offensive, Raising Fears of Mass Violence and Humanitarian Collapse
The South Sudanese military has launched a large-scale operation in Jonglei to retake towns seized by opposition forces, ordering civilians to evacuate and aid groups to withdraw on short notice. A circulated recording of a commander urging indiscriminate violence has intensified international alarm and increased the risk of widescale abuses and displacement.

Uganda’s army chief accuses U.S. embassy of aiding hiding opposition leader, heightening post-election crisis
A senior military commander in Uganda publicly accused officials at the U.S. diplomatic mission of assisting the nation’s main opposition figure as the latter remains in hiding after a contested presidential vote. The allegation and accompanying threats from the army have intensified domestic unrest and risk straining relations with foreign partners, with potential consequences for aid and security cooperation.

North Korea Signals Severe Retaliation After Reported Drone Incursion
North Korea issued a sharp warning that further airspace violations will prompt strong retaliation after Seoul expressed regret over an alleged civilian drone crossing. The message, delivered by a prominent regime figure and carried by state outlets, raises the risk of heightened military posture and diplomatic friction on the peninsula.

Iran: Khamenei warns a US strike would ignite a regional war
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned that any US military strike on Iran could spark a wider regional conflict as Washington reinforces its presence with a carrier strike group and multi-day aviation exercises nearby. At the same time, Iranian officials report discreet message exchanges with Washington and third-party offers to mediate, even as domestic unrest, deadly blasts and economic collapse intensify pressure on Tehran.