
EU Moves to Label Iran’s Revolutionary Guard a Terrorist Organization, Raising Regional and Economic Risks
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U.S. Treasury Targets Iran’s Use of Crypto, Sanctions Two UK-Registered Exchanges
The U.S. Treasury has imposed sanctions on two UK-registered cryptocurrency platforms and several Iranian officials, marking a step toward treating digital-asset venues as sanctionable nodes in Iran’s financial apparatus. The move highlights Washington’s effort to disrupt opaque crypto channels that analysts say have moved tens of billions of dollars and to deter state-linked money flows supporting the IRGC.

Trump issues order to penalize nations that trade with Iran
President Trump signed an executive order authorizing punitive duties on imports from countries that maintain commercial ties with Iran, citing national-security concerns and using a 25% levy as an illustrative example. The move was paired with heightened U.S. military posture in the region and follows direct U.S.–Iran talks held in Oman, increasing the policy’s diplomatic and market ramifications.

Iran fortifies missile and nuclear sites as US boosts forces in region
Iran has accelerated repairs and hardened several missile and nuclear-related facilities while holding naval drills and strengthening wartime command structures. Satellite imagery shows fresh concrete and earthworks at Natanz-area tunnels and Isfahan portals; U.S. forces—including two carrier strike groups—have increased presence while indirect U.S.–Iran talks and IAEA technical consultations continue without binding agreements.

Trump Signals Military Option to Iran, Warns Carrier-Led Fleet Is Moving In
President Trump publicly warned Iran that a substantial U.S. naval formation is en route and urged Tehran to accept a negotiated settlement on its nuclear activities to avoid a major strike. He invoked a prior U.S. operation that targeted Iranian nuclear sites and framed the deployment as both pressure and a ready military option.

Iran: Khamenei warns a US strike would ignite a regional war
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned that any US military strike on Iran could spark a wider regional conflict as Washington reinforces its presence with a carrier strike group and multi-day aviation exercises nearby. At the same time, Iranian officials report discreet message exchanges with Washington and third-party offers to mediate, even as domestic unrest, deadly blasts and economic collapse intensify pressure on Tehran.

Iran Signals Conditional Willingness to Resume Nuclear Talks as Regional Tensions Rise
Iran signalled conditional openness to nuclear negotiations with the United States but insisted talks be equal, non-coercive and exclude its defensive forces and missile programmes. The move occurs amid a heightened security posture — including a US carrier strike group deployment — a recent deadly domestic security operation and sharp economic strain, all of which complicate the narrow diplomatic window and raise risks of inadvertent escalation.
Iran warns it could close Strait of Hormuz, risking major oil-market disruption
Iran has signaled retaliation against threatened U.S. strikes and raised the possibility of impeding traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Such an action would threaten roughly a quarter of seaborne oil flows and has already lifted short-term risk premia as militaries, insurers and shippers revise contingency plans.

U.S. and Iran Hold Second Nuclear Talks in Geneva as Military Tensions Rise
U.S. and Iranian delegations met in Geneva on Feb. 17, 2026, for a second round of nuclear negotiations even as regional military activity — including stepped-up U.S. carrier movements and reported maritime incidents — raised the risk of a dangerous miscalculation. Diplomats continue to press technical verification and sequencing, while Tehran insists that reversible sanctions relief be part of any substantive trade‑off.